Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.144 to 12.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.54 (+0.144)
- In: 12.40
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 188
- In: 163
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.12 | 10.35 | +0.238 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.62 | 13.68 | +0.062 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.40 | 9.50 | +0.097 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.01 | 15.05 | +0.044 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.54 | 12.71 | +0.171 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.71 | 11.73 | +0.028 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.82 | 12.84 | +0.018 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.32 | 12.53 | +0.215 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.05 | 14.47 | +0.420 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 440, plus 163 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 109 on actions (buy 66, partner 44). 188 carried over.
- BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence22 credits for 1.53 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by -1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication22 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.6 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.75 | +1.72 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.14 | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.96 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.09 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.88 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.83 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |