Round 15 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 12.69.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.69 (+0.145)
In: 12.54
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
188
In: 178
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3510.55+0.1995
Strategic Infrastructure13.6813.71+0.0273
National Security9.509.60+0.0995
Human Capital15.0515.07+0.0211
Information & Influence12.7113.27+0.5614 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.7311.73−0.0019
Financial Strength12.8412.92+0.07910 → 9
Production & Innovation12.5312.58+0.0484
Trade & Investment14.4714.74+0.2711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 438, plus 178 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 110 on actions (buy 44, partner 66). 188 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.61 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.70+1.670.000.00+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.64+1.630.000.00+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.88+0.840.000.00+0.04
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.86+0.830.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.82+0.810.000.00+0.01