Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.129 to 12.81.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.81 (+0.128)
- In: 12.69
- Rank by index
- 23
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 188
- In: 179
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.55 | 10.74 | +0.186 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.71 | 13.76 | +0.048 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.60 | 9.61 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.07 | 15.24 | +0.172 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.27 | 13.45 | +0.181 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.73 | 11.77 | +0.033 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.92 | 13.02 | +0.098 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.58 | 12.64 | +0.057 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.74 | 15.11 | +0.369 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 445, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 326. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 44, partner 44). 188 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.12 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +7.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.44 | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.04 | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.87 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.82 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.74 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |