Round 17 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.149 to 12.96.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.96 (+0.149)
In: 12.81
Rank by index
22
In: 23
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
211
In: 178
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.7411.16+0.4265 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.7613.81+0.0483
National Security9.619.64+0.0235
Human Capital15.2415.31+0.0671
Information & Influence13.4513.49+0.0412
Governance & Integrity11.7711.80+0.0369
Financial Strength13.0213.31+0.2968
Production & Innovation12.6412.69+0.0494
Trade & Investment15.1115.46+0.3531

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 480, plus 178 carried in. Maintenance 337. Spent 111 on actions (buy 67, partner 45). 211 carried over.

  • PartnerRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.34 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing22 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power22 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.68+1.630.00+0.02+0.02
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.61+1.580.00+0.020.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.56+1.520.00+0.02+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.80+0.770.00+0.02+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.80+0.760.00+0.02+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.74+0.710.00+0.020.00