Round 18 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 13.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.09 (+0.126)
In: 12.96
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
217
In: 200
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1611.77+0.6064
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.93+0.1213
National Security9.649.66+0.0225
Human Capital15.3115.38+0.0681
Information & Influence13.4913.52+0.0282
Governance & Integrity11.8011.84+0.0379
Financial Strength13.3113.35+0.0358
Production & Innovation12.6912.74+0.0524 → 3
Trade & Investment15.4615.62+0.1591

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 484, plus 200 carried in. Maintenance 347. Spent 120 on actions (buy 72, partner 48). 217 carried over.

  • PartnerRobotics & Autonomous Systems24 credits for 1.37 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation24 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies24 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure24 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies24 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.76+1.730.00+0.02+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.68+1.640.00+0.02+0.01
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.38+1.350.00+0.02+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.80+0.770.00+0.02+0.01
Space Technologies+0.73+0.700.00+0.02+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.71+0.680.00+0.02+0.01