Round 4 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 11.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.43 (+0.103)
In: 11.32
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
129
In: 83
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.707.03+0.3336
Strategic Infrastructure10.1610.23+0.0695
National Security6.726.73+0.0096
Human Capital14.8114.99+0.1803 → 2
Information & Influence10.2310.54+0.3116
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05+0.0015
Financial Strength13.1413.13−0.0038
Production & Innovation12.8412.84+0.0045
Trade & Investment12.2712.30+0.0248 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 365, plus 83 carried in. Maintenance 227. Spent 92 on actions (build 18, buy 37, partner 37). 129 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 2 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.94+1.940.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.80+0.760.000.00+0.04
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.67+0.660.000.00+0.01