Round 5 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.138 to 11.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.57 (+0.138)
In: 11.43
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
165
In: 123
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.037.42+0.3846
Strategic Infrastructure10.2310.36+0.1305
National Security6.736.76+0.0266
Human Capital14.9915.17+0.1762
Information & Influence10.5410.95+0.4106
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05−0.0035
Financial Strength13.1313.13−0.0068
Production & Innovation12.8412.82−0.0155
Trade & Investment12.3012.44+0.1406

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 365, plus 123 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 91 on actions (buy 55, partner 37). 165 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.43 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.89+1.890.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.51+1.470.000.00+0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.41+1.410.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.32+1.290.000.00+0.04
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.95+0.980.000.00−0.03