Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.128 to 11.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.70 (+0.129)
In: 11.57
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
193
In: 157
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.427.69+0.2786
Strategic Infrastructure10.3610.43+0.0655
National Security6.766.80+0.0386
Human Capital15.1715.31+0.1382 → 1
Information & Influence10.9511.22+0.2656
Governance & Integrity15.0515.04−0.0055
Financial Strength13.1313.12−0.0048
Production & Innovation12.8212.96+0.1385
Trade & Investment12.4412.68+0.2406

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 365, plus 157 carried in. Maintenance 237. Spent 91 on actions (buy 37, partner 55). 193 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 1 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy18 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.01+1.920.000.00+0.10
Economic Output & Productivity+1.03+1.040.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.93+0.920.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.76+0.770.000.000.00