Round 7 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.102 to 11.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.59 (−0.102)
In: 11.70
Rank by index
32
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
225
In: 184
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.698.15+0.4606
Strategic Infrastructure10.4310.11−0.3205
National Security6.806.71−0.0846
Human Capital15.3115.21−0.0991
Information & Influence11.2211.31+0.0946
Governance & Integrity15.0414.88−0.1645
Financial Strength13.1212.79−0.3298 → 9
Production & Innovation12.9612.71−0.2585
Trade & Investment12.6812.46−0.2166 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 375, plus 184 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 91 on actions (buy 73, partner 18). 225 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies18 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance18 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −17.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.59+1.730.00−0.130.00
Energy Technologies+1.38+1.720.00−0.33−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.28+1.600.00−0.320.00
Space Technologies+1.08+1.230.00−0.16+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.06+1.260.00−0.200.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.630.000.00−0.61−0.02