Round 8 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.095 to 11.69.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.095)
In: 11.59
Rank by index
31
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
246
In: 214
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.158.41+0.2536
Strategic Infrastructure10.1110.11+0.0085
National Security6.716.75+0.0356
Human Capital15.2115.24+0.0291
Information & Influence11.3111.49+0.1736 → 5
Governance & Integrity14.8814.87−0.0065
Financial Strength12.7912.78−0.0119
Production & Innovation12.7112.84+0.1385
Trade & Investment12.4612.70+0.2357 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 369, plus 214 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 94 on actions (buy 38, partner 56). 246 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.75+1.750.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.01+1.010.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.95+0.890.000.00+0.06
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.93+0.850.000.00+0.08
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.78+0.790.000.00−0.01
Space Technologies+0.63+0.600.000.00+0.03