Round 14 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.144 to 13.05.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.05 (+0.144)
In: 12.90
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
68
In: 77
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3310.77+0.4405
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.52−0.0024
National Security8.148.15+0.0076
Human Capital16.3616.39+0.0291
Information & Influence13.2813.65+0.3643
Governance & Integrity15.6915.69−0.0023
Financial Strength12.7112.72+0.0138
Production & Innovation13.7213.74+0.0173
Trade & Investment14.3714.80+0.4265

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 401, plus 77 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 100 on actions (buy 80, partner 20). 68 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 2 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems20 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.61+1.580.000.00+0.03
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.60+1.560.000.00+0.04
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.53+1.480.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+1.46+1.430.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.09+1.090.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.80+0.760.000.00+0.03