Round 15 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.090 to 13.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.14 (+0.089)
In: 13.05
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
46
In: 65
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.7711.26+0.4985
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.54+0.0234
National Security8.158.17+0.0196
Human Capital16.3916.42+0.0321
Information & Influence13.6513.65+0.0083
Governance & Integrity15.6915.68−0.0023
Financial Strength12.7212.73+0.0028
Production & Innovation13.7413.75+0.0123
Trade & Investment14.8015.01+0.2175 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 401, plus 65 carried in. Maintenance 319. Spent 100 on actions (buy 60, partner 40). 46 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.51+1.500.000.00+0.01
Energy Technologies+1.47+1.460.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.39+1.380.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.75+0.700.000.00+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.70+0.670.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.52+0.520.000.00+0.01