Round 17 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.137 to 13.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.42 (+0.136)
In: 13.29
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
6
In: 15
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.6711.84+0.1634
Strategic Infrastructure11.7011.84+0.1434
National Security8.198.29+0.0986
Human Capital16.6016.68+0.0741
Information & Influence13.7013.90+0.2013
Governance & Integrity15.7615.84+0.0783
Financial Strength12.7612.82+0.0668
Production & Innovation13.9514.24+0.2833 → 2
Trade & Investment15.2415.36+0.1232 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 422, plus 15 carried in. Maintenance 343. Spent 88 on actions (buy 60, partner 28). 6 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • BuyAir Power20 credits for 1.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy8 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.9 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.45+1.380.00+0.06+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.03+1.000.00+0.030.00
Air Power+0.78+0.750.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.69+0.640.00+0.03+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.64+0.540.00+0.06+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.35+0.290.00+0.03+0.02