Round 18 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.124 to 13.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.55 (+0.124)
In: 13.42
Rank by index
21
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
4
In: 6
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.8411.94+0.1044
Strategic Infrastructure11.8411.94+0.0974
National Security8.298.46+0.1746
Human Capital16.6816.75+0.0671
Information & Influence13.9014.15+0.2533 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.92+0.0793
Financial Strength12.8212.87+0.0438
Production & Innovation14.2414.31+0.0792
Trade & Investment15.3615.58+0.2171

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 426, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 356. Spent 72 on actions (buy 21, partner 51). 4 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace Operations21 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks8 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.9 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Operations+0.83+0.760.000.00+0.07
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.78+0.700.00+0.06+0.01
Air Power+0.76+0.750.000.00+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.69+0.640.00+0.03+0.02
Space Technologies+0.54+0.500.00+0.03+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.35+0.290.00+0.03+0.02