Round 3 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.143 to 11.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.51 (+0.143)
In: 11.37
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
109
In: 73
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.607.01+0.4167 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.6810.71+0.0335
National Security7.547.54+0.0016
Human Capital14.6214.79+0.1723
Information & Influence10.5910.93+0.3336
Governance & Integrity15.3315.40+0.0634 → 3
Financial Strength12.3712.42+0.0549
Production & Innovation12.5912.77+0.1895
Trade & Investment12.0212.05+0.0288

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 57, partner 19). 109 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 4 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 3 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.86+1.810.00+0.03+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.66+1.600.00+0.050.00
Space Technologies+1.49+1.440.00+0.050.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.15+1.120.00+0.030.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.07+1.010.00+0.050.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.520.000.00+0.05+0.46