Round 11 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.15 (+0.110)
In: 12.04
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
175
In: 166
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.139.30+0.1795
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0025
National Security7.817.85+0.0396
Human Capital15.5915.64+0.0541
Information & Influence12.0112.17+0.1545 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.2515.24−0.0034
Financial Strength12.1512.16+0.00610
Production & Innovation12.6712.89+0.2215 → 4
Trade & Investment12.8613.21+0.3415 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 372, plus 166 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 93 on actions (buy 37, partner 56). 175 carried over.

  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.59+1.590.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.50+1.500.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.88+0.820.000.00+0.06
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.83+0.800.000.00+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.79+0.770.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.72+0.730.000.00−0.01