Round 12 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.114 to 12.26.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.26 (+0.115)
In: 12.15
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
169
In: 166
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.309.50+0.1925
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.93+0.0635
National Security7.857.88+0.0306
Human Capital15.6415.66+0.0181
Information & Influence12.1712.44+0.2774
Governance & Integrity15.2415.24−0.0044
Financial Strength12.1612.15−0.00110
Production & Innovation12.8912.89+0.0034
Trade & Investment13.2113.65+0.4503

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 373, plus 166 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 93 on actions (buy 37, partner 56). 169 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.54+1.550.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.88+0.820.000.00+0.05
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.84+0.770.000.00+0.07
Global Value Chain Position+0.80+0.730.000.00+0.08
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.76+0.760.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.73+0.730.000.00+0.01