Round 13 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.222 to 12.48.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.48 (+0.222)
In: 12.26
Rank by index
25
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
158
In: 161
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.509.88+0.3805
Strategic Infrastructure10.9311.11+0.1795
National Security7.888.00+0.1236
Human Capital15.6615.91+0.2491
Information & Influence12.4412.63+0.1904
Governance & Integrity15.2415.36+0.1164
Financial Strength12.1512.21+0.05810
Production & Innovation12.8913.16+0.2684
Trade & Investment13.6514.09+0.4363

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 373, plus 161 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 93 on actions (buy 56, partner 37). 158 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +23.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.77+1.560.00+0.210.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.21+1.010.00+0.21−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.08+0.930.00+0.10+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.90+0.730.00+0.10+0.07
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.84+0.730.00+0.10+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.81+0.760.00+0.050.00