Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.321 to 11.31.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.31 (−0.321)
- In: 11.63
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 77
- In: 46
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.64 | 6.65 | +0.016 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.16 | −0.699 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 6.72 | −0.817 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.67 | 14.78 | +0.110 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.79 | 10.22 | −0.573 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.05 | −0.412 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 13.20 | +0.057 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.97 | 12.72 | −0.245 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.27 | −0.329 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 360, plus 46 carried in. Maintenance 241. Spent 87 on actions (build 35, buy 35, partner 17). 77 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills17 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.69 | +2.10 | 0.00 | −0.41 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.30 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.29 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | 0.00 |