Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.134 to 11.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.66 (+0.135)
In: 11.52
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
219
In: 162
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.167.61+0.4496
Strategic Infrastructure10.2410.38+0.1395
National Security6.766.80+0.0366
Human Capital15.1015.27+0.1742 → 1
Information & Influence10.6510.83+0.1856
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05−0.0035
Financial Strength13.3313.35+0.0158
Production & Innovation12.9713.04+0.0615
Trade & Investment12.4312.58+0.1556

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 387, plus 162 carried in. Maintenance 235. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 57, partner 19). 219 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.92 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.08+1.980.000.00+0.09
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.95+1.960.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.36+1.300.000.00+0.06
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.96+0.970.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.92+0.910.000.00+0.01