Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.121 to 11.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.52 (+0.121)
- In: 11.40
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 171
- In: 114
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.91 | 7.16 | +0.250 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.17 | 10.24 | +0.070 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.74 | 6.76 | +0.026 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.92 | 15.10 | +0.175 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.36 | 10.65 | +0.291 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.05 | −0.001 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.25 | 13.33 | +0.081 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.93 | 12.97 | +0.045 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.28 | 12.43 | +0.151 | 8 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 378, plus 114 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 171 carried over.
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.92 | +1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.89 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.77 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.69 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |