Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 11.40.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.40 (+0.105)
- In: 11.30
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 425
- In: 375
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.42 | 8.67 | +0.251 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.71 | 9.75 | +0.045 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.11 | 6.13 | +0.018 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 15.35 | 15.34 | −0.008 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.96 | 11.18 | +0.218 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.32 | 14.30 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 12.04 | 12.08 | +0.037 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.45 | 12.49 | +0.042 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.36 | 12.70 | +0.346 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 376, plus 375 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 93 on actions (build 19, buy 37, partner 37). 425 carried over.
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.41 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.67 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.89 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.73 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.61 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |