Round 13 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.174 to 11.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.23 (−0.175)
In: 11.40
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
455
In: 404
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.678.79+0.1165
Strategic Infrastructure9.759.61−0.1415
National Security6.136.17+0.0467
Human Capital15.3415.20−0.1391
Information & Influence11.1811.20+0.0196
Governance & Integrity14.3014.09−0.2146
Financial Strength12.0811.40−0.6728 → 9
Production & Innovation12.4912.29−0.1975
Trade & Investment12.7012.32−0.3855 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 383, plus 404 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 56, partner 19). 455 carried over.

  • BuildSpace Operations19 credits for 0.90 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication19 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −19.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.40+1.640.00−0.240.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.22+1.560.00−0.35+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.910.000.00−0.920.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.91+1.190.00−0.280.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.770.000.00−0.76−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.750.000.00−0.73−0.01