Round 20 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.056 to 11.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.52 (−0.056)
In: 11.58
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
454
In: 465
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.0610.41+0.3565
Strategic Infrastructure9.599.54−0.0565
National Security6.546.65+0.1047 → 6
Human Capital15.0314.91−0.1202
Information & Influence12.1011.92−0.1754
Governance & Integrity13.8413.74−0.1026
Financial Strength11.4211.24−0.1839 → 10
Production & Innovation12.3212.18−0.1384
Trade & Investment13.2913.11−0.1905

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 329, plus 465 carried in. Maintenance 256. Spent 84 on actions (build 17, buy 67). 454 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies17 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems17 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation17 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.3 points this round.

Tiers. National Security Tier 7 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.19+1.330.00−0.20+0.07
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.19+1.360.00−0.17−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.14+1.330.00−0.180.00
Energy Technologies+1.06+1.270.00−0.210.00
Space Operations+0.80+0.730.000.00+0.07
Digital & Services Trade−0.330.000.00−0.340.00