Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.011 to 11.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.58 (−0.011)
In: 11.59
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
490
In: 506
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.9710.06+0.0915
Strategic Infrastructure9.659.59−0.0605
National Security6.456.54+0.0967
Human Capital15.1515.03−0.1221 → 2
Information & Influence11.8912.10+0.2094
Governance & Integrity13.9513.84−0.1066
Financial Strength11.6011.42−0.1838 → 9
Production & Innovation12.2812.32+0.0475 → 4
Trade & Investment13.3713.29−0.0715

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 334, plus 506 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 96 on actions (buy 96). 490 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations19 credits for 1.46 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.3 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.34+1.520.00−0.17−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.34+1.480.00−0.150.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.25+1.360.00−0.36+0.24
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.82+1.050.00−0.220.00
Space Operations+0.74+0.730.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.61+0.780.00−0.16−0.01