Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.240 to 11.37.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.37 (−0.240)
- In: 11.61
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 77
- In: 24
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.31 | 6.60 | +0.288 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.68 | −0.215 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.54 | 0.000 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.65 | 14.62 | −0.035 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.81 | 10.59 | −0.221 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.33 | −0.191 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 12.37 | −0.773 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.99 | 12.59 | −0.410 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.62 | 12.02 | −0.602 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 380, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 240. Spent 87 on actions (build 17, buy 52, partner 17). 77 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills17 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 5 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 4 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 3 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 2 per cent
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −24.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.68 | +1.88 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.34 | +1.61 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.22 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | +0.04 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | 0.00 |