Round 3 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.132 to 11.50.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.50 (+0.132)
In: 11.37
Rank by index
33
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
109
In: 73
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.607.01+0.4167 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.6810.71+0.0335
National Security7.547.54+0.0016
Human Capital14.6214.79+0.1723
Information & Influence10.5910.93+0.3336
Governance & Integrity15.3315.40+0.0634 → 3
Financial Strength12.3712.48+0.1109
Production & Innovation12.5912.61+0.0295
Trade & Investment12.0212.05+0.0288

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 109 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.86+1.810.00+0.03+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.66+1.600.00+0.050.00
Space Technologies+1.49+1.440.00+0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.07+1.010.00+0.050.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.520.000.00+0.05+0.46
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.50+0.340.00+0.10+0.06