Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.172 to 11.80.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.80 (+0.172)
- In: 11.63
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 190
- In: 138
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.22 | 7.77 | +0.549 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.80 | 10.89 | +0.091 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.58 | +0.026 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.99 | 15.23 | +0.239 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.08 | 11.24 | +0.155 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.53 | +0.065 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.59 | 12.69 | +0.096 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.77 | 12.81 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.19 | 12.48 | +0.293 | 8 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 388, plus 138 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 93 on actions (build 37, buy 37, partner 19). 190 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.98 | +1.93 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.94 | +1.89 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.38 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.96 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.86 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.78 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |