Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 11.63.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.63 (+0.127)
- In: 11.50
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 33
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 145
- In: 104
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.01 | 7.22 | +0.206 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.71 | 10.80 | +0.085 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.55 | +0.006 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.79 | 14.99 | +0.205 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.93 | 11.08 | +0.154 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.40 | 15.46 | +0.066 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.48 | 12.59 | +0.118 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.61 | 12.77 | +0.157 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.05 | 12.19 | +0.144 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 371, plus 104 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 145 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.38 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.07 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.83 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.78 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.77 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.67 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |