Round 7 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.013 to 11.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.78 (−0.014)
In: 11.79
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
181
In: 195
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.918.02+0.1185 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8310.84+0.0085
National Security7.627.68+0.0566
Human Capital15.3015.33+0.0331
Information & Influence11.0911.09+0.0046
Governance & Integrity15.4415.35−0.0903 → 4
Financial Strength12.5412.46−0.0838
Production & Innovation12.8112.68−0.1325
Trade & Investment12.5812.55−0.0346 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 331, plus 195 carried in. Maintenance 252. Spent 93 on actions (buy 37, partner 56). 181 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.62 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.80+2.000.00−0.190.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.930.00−0.13+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.78+0.920.00−0.16+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.60+0.610.00−0.07+0.06
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.58+0.650.00−0.070.00
Space Technologies+0.48+0.630.00−0.16+0.01