Round 8 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.006 to 11.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.78 (+0.006)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
165
In: 172
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.028.30+0.2756
Strategic Infrastructure10.8410.86+0.0205
National Security7.687.73+0.0466
Human Capital15.3315.33−0.0031
Information & Influence11.0911.22+0.1316
Governance & Integrity15.3515.26−0.0894
Financial Strength12.4612.35−0.1078
Production & Innovation12.6812.53−0.1525
Trade & Investment12.5512.48−0.0715

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 331, plus 172 carried in. Maintenance 255. Spent 83 on actions (buy 33, partner 50). 165 carried over.

  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy17 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.40+1.530.00−0.140.00
Energy Technologies+1.40+1.570.00−0.170.00
Space Technologies+1.02+1.170.00−0.16+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.930.00−0.13+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.60+0.750.00−0.140.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.58+0.610.00−0.07+0.05