Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.105 to 12.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.22 (+0.106)
- In: 12.12
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 244
- In: 215
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.01 | 9.37 | +0.361 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.90 | +0.014 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.82 | 7.86 | +0.042 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.52 | 15.57 | +0.050 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.04 | 12.20 | +0.162 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.25 | −0.002 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.40 | 12.42 | +0.023 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.03 | 13.10 | +0.078 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.11 | 13.33 | +0.221 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 399, plus 215 carried in. Maintenance 272. Spent 98 on actions (buy 39, partner 59). 244 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.83 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.67 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.21 | +1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +0.68 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |