Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.12.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.12 (+0.109)
- In: 12.01
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 226
- In: 194
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.76 | 9.01 | +0.242 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.88 | 10.89 | +0.006 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.78 | 7.82 | +0.035 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.47 | 15.52 | +0.054 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.92 | 12.04 | +0.118 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.26 | −0.003 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.36 | 12.40 | +0.039 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.75 | 13.03 | +0.279 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.89 | 13.11 | +0.218 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 393, plus 194 carried in. Maintenance 266. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 226 carried over.
- PartnerBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.36 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.60 | +1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.54 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.77 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.73 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +0.68 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.67 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |