Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.226 to 12.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.54 (−0.227)
- In: 12.77
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 244
- In: 246
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.10 | 11.00 | −0.106 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.22 | 11.04 | −0.175 | 4 → 5 |
| National Security | 7.88 | 7.94 | +0.062 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.15 | 16.04 | −0.111 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.03 | 13.28 | +0.247 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.29 | 15.05 | −0.247 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.50 | 11.71 | −0.787 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.45 | 13.14 | −0.309 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.29 | 13.68 | −0.610 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 414, plus 246 carried in. Maintenance 314. Spent 102 on actions (build 20, buy 61, partner 20). 244 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks20 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −23.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.23 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.25 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.13 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.02 | +1.46 | 0.00 | −0.45 | +0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.93 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | 0.00 |