Round 17 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.101 to 12.77.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.77 (+0.101)
In: 12.67
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
259
In: 259
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9111.10+0.1915
Strategic Infrastructure11.2111.22+0.0064
National Security7.847.88+0.0445
Human Capital16.1116.15+0.0421
Information & Influence12.6413.03+0.3914 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.3015.29−0.0024
Financial Strength12.4612.50+0.0418
Production & Innovation13.3813.45+0.0643
Trade & Investment14.1514.29+0.1324 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 408, plus 259 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 101 on actions (buy 20, partner 81). 259 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication20 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.53+1.520.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.80+0.780.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.78+0.770.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.78+0.760.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.76+0.750.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.41+0.400.000.00+0.01