Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 11.95.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.95 (+0.122)
- In: 11.82
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 139
- In: 104
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.24 | 7.66 | +0.416 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 11.00 | +0.069 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.60 | +0.046 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.96 | 15.18 | +0.216 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.18 | 11.32 | +0.141 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.46 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.26 | 13.30 | +0.037 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.15 | 13.16 | +0.007 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.66 | 12.83 | +0.166 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 378, plus 104 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 93 on actions (build 37, buy 37, partner 19). 139 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.92 | +1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.38 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.76 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.66 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |