Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.129 to 12.07.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.07 (+0.130)
- In: 11.95
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 161
- In: 132
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.66 | 8.08 | +0.426 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.00 | 11.01 | +0.016 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.60 | 7.68 | +0.082 | 6 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.18 | 15.36 | +0.180 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.32 | 11.34 | +0.017 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.46 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.30 | 13.33 | +0.031 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.16 | 13.31 | +0.154 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.83 | 13.09 | +0.258 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 380, plus 132 carried in. Maintenance 256. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 57, partner 19). 161 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.42 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +2.03 | +1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.92 | +1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.05 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.93 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |