Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.105 to 12.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.46 (+0.105)
- In: 12.36
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 218
- In: 199
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.84 | 9.11 | +0.272 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.18 | 11.23 | +0.047 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.84 | 7.91 | +0.067 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.61 | 15.70 | +0.084 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.36 | 12.50 | +0.142 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.47 | 15.48 | +0.018 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.36 | 13.37 | +0.008 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.34 | 13.51 | +0.170 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.25 | 13.39 | +0.137 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 397, plus 199 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 218 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence20 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +4.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.79 | +1.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.04 | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.74 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Space Technologies | +0.66 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |