Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 12.57.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.57 (+0.102)
- In: 12.46
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 242
- In: 207
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.11 | 9.39 | +0.282 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.23 | 11.33 | +0.102 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.91 | 7.96 | +0.057 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.70 | 15.77 | +0.076 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.50 | 12.53 | +0.025 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.48 | 15.50 | +0.019 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.37 | 13.41 | +0.038 | 8 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.51 | 13.54 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.39 | 13.67 | +0.282 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 418, plus 207 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 99 on actions (build 40, buy 40, partner 20). 242 carried over.
- BuildBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.90 | +1.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.62 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.48 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +0.40 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |