Round 16 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.106 to 13.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.33 (+0.105)
In: 13.23
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
240
In: 248
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1811.23+0.0515
Strategic Infrastructure11.5711.65+0.0835 → 4
National Security8.218.28+0.0735
Human Capital16.3916.58+0.1911
Information & Influence13.7413.76+0.0243
Governance & Integrity15.5615.57+0.0023
Financial Strength13.5013.77+0.2717
Production & Innovation14.1714.20+0.0242
Trade & Investment14.7314.96+0.2334

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 432, plus 248 carried in. Maintenance 332. Spent 108 on actions (buy 65, partner 43). 240 carried over.

  • PartnerAir Power22 credits for 1.39 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power22 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure22 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.61+1.560.000.00+0.04
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.08+1.050.000.00+0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.78+0.770.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.60+0.590.000.00+0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.57+0.560.000.00+0.01