Round 18 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 13.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.57 (+0.117)
In: 13.45
Rank by index
21
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
186
In: 207
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.8112.14+0.3345 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure11.7311.74+0.0144
National Security8.368.45+0.0905
Human Capital16.6216.64+0.0141
Information & Influence13.7913.94+0.1493
Governance & Integrity15.5715.57+0.0023
Financial Strength13.7813.79+0.0057
Production & Innovation14.2114.43+0.2222
Trade & Investment15.2115.44+0.2264 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 207 carried in. Maintenance 349. Spent 109 on actions (buy 65, partner 43). 186 carried over.

  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy22 credits for 1.52 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies22 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.53+1.520.000.00+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.48+1.450.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.84+0.780.000.00+0.06
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.78+0.760.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.70+0.650.000.00+0.05