Round 19 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 13.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.67 (+0.102)
In: 13.57
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
143
In: 177
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.1412.44+0.3024
Strategic Infrastructure11.7411.76+0.0144
National Security8.458.57+0.1125
Human Capital16.6416.65+0.0141
Information & Influence13.9414.18+0.2493
Governance & Integrity15.5715.57+0.0033
Financial Strength13.7913.79+0.0017
Production & Innovation14.4314.45+0.0142
Trade & Investment15.4415.65+0.2122 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 177 carried in. Maintenance 362. Spent 109 on actions (buy 66, partner 44). 143 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks22 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.54+1.480.000.00+0.06
Artificial Intelligence+1.39+1.330.000.00+0.06
Space Operations+0.87+0.770.000.00+0.10
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.78+0.760.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.71+0.650.000.00+0.06