Round 20 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.131 to 13.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.80 (+0.131)
In: 13.67
Rank by index
19
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
89
In: 135
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.4412.83+0.3834 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure11.7611.77+0.0174
National Security8.578.68+0.1175
Human Capital16.6516.66+0.0111
Information & Influence14.1814.55+0.3623
Governance & Integrity15.5715.58+0.0033
Financial Strength13.7913.79+0.0017
Production & Innovation14.4514.60+0.1502
Trade & Investment15.6515.78+0.1351

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 135 carried in. Maintenance 374. Spent 109 on actions (buy 109). 89 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies22 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.50+1.480.000.00+0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.98+0.970.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.94+0.910.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.89+0.880.000.00+0.01
Space Operations+0.88+0.770.000.00+0.11