Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.163 to 11.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.67 (+0.162)
In: 11.51
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
216
In: 167
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.037.74+0.7176
Strategic Infrastructure10.3610.44+0.0735
National Security6.766.80+0.0396
Human Capital15.1015.24+0.1382 → 1
Information & Influence10.6710.84+0.1736
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05−0.0035
Financial Strength13.3213.35+0.0288
Production & Innovation12.8312.97+0.1425
Trade & Investment12.4212.58+0.1556

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 378, plus 167 carried in. Maintenance 234. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 75). 216 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+2.67+2.670.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.06+1.960.000.00+0.10
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.93+1.940.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.05+1.060.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.97+0.980.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.96+0.960.000.000.00