Round 12 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 11.39.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.39 (+0.102)
In: 11.29
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
457
In: 397
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.518.53+0.0215
Strategic Infrastructure9.729.78+0.0585
National Security5.915.95+0.0417
Human Capital15.1715.16−0.0061
Information & Influence10.9711.39+0.4166
Governance & Integrity14.3214.31−0.0116
Financial Strength12.2712.28+0.0037
Production & Innovation12.4712.51+0.0385
Trade & Investment12.2412.60+0.3587 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 390, plus 397 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 39, partner 39). 457 carried over.

  • BuildAir Power19 credits for 1.00 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.65+1.640.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.89+0.890.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.77+0.790.000.00−0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.65+0.620.000.00+0.03