Round 13 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.172 to 11.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.22 (−0.172)
In: 11.39
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
495
In: 434
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.538.72+0.1935
Strategic Infrastructure9.789.65−0.1315
National Security5.955.99+0.0447
Human Capital15.1615.03−0.1321 → 2
Information & Influence11.3911.19−0.1946
Governance & Integrity14.3114.10−0.2126
Financial Strength12.2811.61−0.6627 → 8
Production & Innovation12.5112.31−0.1945
Trade & Investment12.6012.34−0.2616

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 434 carried in. Maintenance 237. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 59, partner 20). 495 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −18.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.46+1.700.00−0.240.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.45+1.580.00−0.21+0.08
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.25+1.620.00−0.35−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.760.000.00−0.75−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.740.000.00−0.72−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.730.000.00−0.730.00