Round 14 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 11.31.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.31 (+0.094)
In: 11.22
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
518
In: 470
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.728.93+0.2095
Strategic Infrastructure9.659.65+0.0015
National Security5.996.01+0.0237
Human Capital15.0315.03−0.0052
Information & Influence11.1911.34+0.1506
Governance & Integrity14.1014.09−0.0106
Financial Strength11.6111.86+0.2448
Production & Innovation12.3112.31−0.0045
Trade & Investment12.3412.57+0.2306

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 470 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 99 on actions (buy 40, partner 59). 518 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.62+1.630.000.00−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.45+1.460.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.84+0.850.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.83+0.810.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.60+0.600.000.000.00