Round 13 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.231 to 12.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.43 (+0.231)
In: 12.20
Rank by index
25
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
237
In: 220
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.349.91+0.5685
Strategic Infrastructure10.9411.13+0.1875
National Security7.908.05+0.1425
Human Capital15.5115.67+0.1651
Information & Influence12.2212.57+0.3454
Governance & Integrity15.2515.37+0.1174
Financial Strength12.3112.37+0.0618
Production & Innovation13.0213.16+0.1404
Trade & Investment13.3213.67+0.3505

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 392, plus 220 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 98 on actions (buy 39, partner 59). 237 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence20 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +23.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.84+1.640.00+0.210.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.72+1.620.00+0.100.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.98+0.850.00+0.05+0.08
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.97+0.810.00+0.10+0.05
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.86+0.760.00+0.100.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.85+0.800.00+0.050.00