Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.088 to 12.20.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.20 (+0.088)
- In: 12.11
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 232
- In: 209
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.11 | 9.34 | +0.229 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.88 | 10.94 | +0.068 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.87 | 7.90 | +0.038 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.51 | +0.047 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.07 | 12.22 | +0.155 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.25 | 15.25 | −0.004 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.29 | 12.31 | +0.015 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.01 | 13.02 | +0.018 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.10 | 13.32 | +0.222 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 391, plus 209 carried in. Maintenance 272. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 39, partner 39). 232 carried over.
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.65 levelsmctsahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.65 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.75 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.74 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.62 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Advanced Education | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |