Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.209 to 12.55.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.55 (+0.209)
- In: 12.34
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 240
- In: 232
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.94 | 10.32 | +0.381 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.05 | 11.18 | +0.129 | 5 → 4 |
| National Security | 7.69 | 7.82 | +0.124 | 6 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.87 | 16.09 | +0.228 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.54 | 12.61 | +0.068 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.18 | 15.29 | +0.113 | 5 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 11.91 | 12.28 | +0.367 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.10 | 13.23 | +0.128 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.76 | 14.11 | +0.347 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 232 carried in. Maintenance 285. Spent 102 on actions (build 20, buy 41, partner 41). 240 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.71 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +8.0 points this round.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; National Security Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.89 | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.03 |
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.65 | +1.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.96 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.05 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.88 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.02 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.66 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.57 | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.21 | 0.00 |